# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-04-18 · 13 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR18NALHER · as_of 2026-10-26T18:26:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR18NALHER ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert UFC Fight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	31	18	0.58	YYYnYnYnnn	0.55
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	34	18	0.53	YYYnnnYnnn	0.51
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	24	12	0.5	nnnnnYYYnn	0.47
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	34	11	0.32	YYnnYYnnnn	0.33
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	32	10	0.31	YYYnnnYnnn	0.32
Triangle	triangle	32	10	0.31	nnnYnnnnnn	0.32
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	34	10	0.29	nnnnYYnnYn	0.3
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	32	9	0.28	nYnnnnnnYn	0.29
Championship	championship	33	7	0.21	nnnnnnnnnn	0.23
Dana	dana	34	3	0.09	nnnnnYnnnn	0.12
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	32	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09
What a Fight	what a fight	21	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnY	0.08
Lights Out	lights out	33	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.02