# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-03-28 · 16 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR28ADEPYF · as_of 2026-10-26T09:50:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR28ADEPYF ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Adesanya vs Pyfer professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	12	9	0.75	YYYYnYnYYY	0.65	hist	no
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	18	12	0.67	YYYYYnnYYY	0.61	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	21	13	0.62	YYnYnYnYYY	0.59	hist	no
Triangle	triangle	20	8	0.4	nYYYnnnnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	20	7	0.35	YnYYnnnnYY	0.35	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	21	7	0.33	YnYnnnnnnY	0.33	hist	no
Championship	championship	21	6	0.29	YYnYnnnnnY	0.31	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	21	6	0.29	YnYnnYnnnn	0.3	hist	yes
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	20	4	0.2	nnnYnnnnnn	0.22	hist	yes
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	20	2	0.1	nnYnnYnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Dana	dana	22	2	0.09	nnnnnnnnYn	0.13	hist	no
What a Fight	what a fight	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	21	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.03	hist	no
Bodybagz / Body Bag	body bag|bodybagz	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Climate Pledge Arena	climate pledge arena	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Stylebender	stylebender	0	0			0.3	prior	no