# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-03-21 · 16 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR21PAGPAT · as_of 2026-10-26T17:32:41Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR21PAGPAT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Page vs Patterson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	9	6	0.67	nYYYYYnYn	0.56	hist	yes
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	15	9	0.6	YnYYYYYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	18	10	0.56	YYYYYnYnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Triangle	triangle	17	7	0.41	nnYnYYYnnn	0.41	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	18	6	0.33	nnYYnYnnYn	0.34	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	18	6	0.33	nYnYnYnnnn	0.33	hist	no
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	17	5	0.29	YnnYnYYnnn	0.3	hist	no
Championship	championship	18	5	0.28	nnnYYnYnnn	0.3	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	17	4	0.24	nYnnnnYnnn	0.25	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	17	2	0.12	nnnnnYnnYn	0.16	hist	no
What a Fight	what a fight	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Dana	dana	19	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	18	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.04	hist	no
Future	future	0	0			0.29	prior	no
O2 Arena	o2 arena	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Venom	venom	0	0			0.29	prior	no