# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-03-14 · 16 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR14LEMROB · as_of 2026-10-26T20:51:16Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR14LEMROB ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Lemos vs Robertson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	12	8	0.67	nYYYnYYYYY	0.6	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	15	9	0.6	nYYYYYYYnY	0.57	hist	yes
Triangle	triangle	14	7	0.5	YnnnnYnYYY	0.48	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	15	6	0.4	nYnnYnYnYn	0.38	hist	no
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	14	5	0.36	nnnYnnYnYY	0.36	hist	no
Championship	championship	15	5	0.33	nnnnnnYYnY	0.35	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	15	5	0.33	nYnnnYYnYn	0.34	hist	yes
Meta	meta	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.33	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	14	4	0.29	YnnnYnnnnY	0.3	hist	no
What a Fight	what a fight	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnnnYn	0.12	hist	yes
Dana	dana	16	1	0.06	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	15	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Amandinha	amandinha	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Savage	savage	0	0			0.31	prior	no