# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-03-07 · 15 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR07BORDER · as_of 2026-10-26T21:09:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAR07BORDER ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Borralho vs Ridder professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	12	7	0.58	nnYnYYYYYY	0.55	hist	no
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	9	5	0.56	nnnYYYnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.47	hist	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	12	5	0.42	nnYnYnnYnY	0.39	hist	yes
Triangle	triangle	11	4	0.36	YnnYnnnnYn	0.37	hist	yes
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	12	4	0.33	nnnnYnnnYY	0.34	hist	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	11	3	0.27	YnnnnnYnnY	0.29	hist	yes
Championship	championship	12	3	0.25	YnnnnnnnnY	0.29	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	11	3	0.27	nnnYnnnYnn	0.28	hist	no
Dana	dana	13	1	0.08	nnnYnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Smashed / Smashing	smashed|smashing	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	yes
Lights Out	lights out	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Natural	natural	0	0			0.29	prior	no
RdR	rdr	0	0			0.29	prior	yes