# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-02-28 · 15 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB28ZELGRE · as_of 2026-10-26T14:55:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB28ZELGRE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Zellhuber vs Green professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	6	3	0.5	nnnYYY	0.43	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	9	4	0.44	nnnnYnYYY	0.41	hist	yes
Triangle	triangle	8	3	0.38	YYnnYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	9	3	0.33	nYnnYnYnn	0.33	hist	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	8	2	0.25	nYnnnnnY	0.27	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	8	2	0.25	YnnnYnnn	0.26	hist	yes
Championship	championship	9	2	0.22	YnYnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	9	2	0.22	YnnnnnYnn	0.24	hist	no
Smashed / Smashing	smashed|smashing	9	1	0.11	Ynnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
Dana	dana	10	1	0.1	nnnnnnYnnn	0.15	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	10	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Golden Boy	golden boy	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Paddy Pimblett	paddy pimblett	0	0			0.27	prior	no