# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-02-21 · 32 words in 33 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB21STRHER · P p:ufc-fight-night-mentions-strickland-vs-hernandez · as_of 2026-10-28T08:00:05Z
# scope K pbp_or_color; P any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB21STRHER ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Strickland vs Hernandez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:ufc-fight-night-mentions-strickland-vs-hernandez (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by announcers or color commentators during the main card portion of the scheduled broadcast of UFC Fight Night on Paramount+.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Octagon	octagon	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	yes
Decision / Judge	decision|judge	1	K	5	3	0.6	nYYYn	0.47	hist	no
Triangle	triangle	1	K	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.47	hist	no
Toyota	toyota	1	K	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	1	K	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.35	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	1	K	6	2	0.33	nYnnYn	0.32	hist	no
Championship	championship	1	K	6	2	0.33	YnYnnn	0.31	hist	no
Choke / Choked	choke|choked	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	1	K	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.23	hist	yes
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	1	K	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.21	hist	yes
Smashed / Smashing	smashed|smashing	1	K	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	1	K	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Dana	dana	1	K	7	1	0.14	nnnnnnY	0.2	hist	no
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.15	hist	yes
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	1	K	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
30 second	30 second	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Black / Green	black|green	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Dana White	dana white	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Eye poke	eye poke	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Hernandez / Strickland 18+ times	hernandez|strickland#18	18	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Jiu-Jitsu	jiu jitsu	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Main Event	main event	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Nasty	nasty	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Paramount plus	paramount plus	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Sequence / Combination 3+ times	combination|sequence#3	3	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Strategy	strategy	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Surprise	surprise	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Takedown / Take down 3+ times	take down|takedown#3	3	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Toyota	toyota	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Triangle / Guillotine	guillotine|triangle	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Fluffy	fluffy	1	K	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Tarzan	tarzan	1	K	0	0			0.27	prior	no
