# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-02-07 · 18 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB07ALBHOR · as_of 2026-10-26T12:39:46Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB07ALBHOR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Albazi vs Horiguchi professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Triangle	triangle	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	no
Championship	championship	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.47	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
Decision / Judge	decision|judge	2	1	0.5	nY	0.37	hist	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	2	1	0.5	nY	0.37	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.32	hist	yes
Smashed / Smashing	smashed|smashing	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.32	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.32	hist	no
Adrenaline	adrenaline	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	hist	yes
McGregor	mcgregor	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	hist	no
Dana	dana	4	0	0	nnnn	0.14	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	4	0	0	nnnn	0.14	hist	no
Karate Kid	karate kid	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Meta	meta	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Prince	prince	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	0	0			0.3	prior	no