# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-01-31 · 23 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26JAN31VOLLOP · as_of 2026-10-26T16:30:04Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-31 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26JAN31VOLLOP ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Volkanovski vs Lopes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jan 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Championship	championship	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Smashed / Smashing	smashed|smashing	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Killer	killer	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.34	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Ilia / Topuria	ilia|topuria	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Islam / Makhachev	islam|makhachev	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
McGregor	mcgregor	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Dana	dana	2	0	0	nn	0.21	hist	no
Lights Out	lights out	2	0	0	nn	0.21	hist	no
Alexa Grasso	alexa grasso	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Decision / Judge	decision|judge	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Francisco Grasso	francisco grasso	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Joe Lopez	joe lopez	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Octagon	octagon	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Qudos Bank	qudos bank	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Takedown / Take down	take down|takedown	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Triangle	triangle	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
What a Fight	what a fight	0	0			0.31	prior	no