# UEFA Champions League (uefa-champions-league) · game 2026-05-30 · 16 words · K k:KXUEFAMENTION-UCL26 · as_of 2026-10-26T11:00:43Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXUEFAMENTION-UCL26 ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Champions League Winner: PSG vs Arsenal , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crossbar / Post	crossbar|post	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
World Cup	world cup	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Yellow Card	yellow card	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Record	record	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Handball	handball	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Suspended / Suspension	suspended|suspension	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	0.59	hist	no
Extra Time	extra time	6	3	0.5	YYYnnn	0.49	hist	yes
Penalty Shootout	penalty shootout	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.49	hist	yes
Golden Boot	golden boot	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Ronaldo	ronaldo	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	0.39	hist	yes
Messi	messi	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.3	hist	no
Slide Tackle / Slide Tackles	slide tackle	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.3	hist	no
Red Card	red card	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.29	hist	no
What a Save	what a save	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Puskas Arena	puskas arena	0	0			0.51	prior	no