# Premier League (premier-league) · game 2026-04-25 · 16 words · K k:KXEPLMENTION-26APR25ARSNEW · as_of 2026-10-26T21:08:37Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXEPLMENTION-26APR25ARSNEW ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Arsenal vs Newcastle professional EPL soccer game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crossbar / Post	crossbar|post	3	3	1	YYY	0.74	hist	yes
Yellow Card	yellow card	3	3	1	YYY	0.74	hist	yes
Record	record	1	1	1	Y	0.63	hist	no
What a Save	what a save	1	1	1	Y	0.63	hist	no
VAR	var	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.58	hist	yes
World Cup	world cup	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.58	hist	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.51	hist	yes
Red Card	red card	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.43	hist	no
Bottle	bottle	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Extra Time	extra time	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Remontada	remontada	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Ronaldo / Messi	messi|ronaldo	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Suspended / Suspension	suspended|suspension	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Relegation	relegation	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	yes
Slide Tackle	slide tackle	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Emirates	emirate	0	0			0.53	prior	yes