# Premier League (premier-league) · game 2026-04-19 · 16 words · K k:KXEPLMENTION-26APR19MCIARS · as_of 2026-10-25T23:39:20Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-19 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXEPLMENTION-26APR19MCIARS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Manchester City vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crossbar / Post	crossbar|post	2	2	1	YY	0.73	hist	yes
World Cup	world cup	2	2	1	YY	0.73	hist	no
Yellow Card	yellow card	2	2	1	YY	0.73	hist	yes
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	no
Red Card	red card	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.54	hist	no
VAR	var	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.54	hist	yes
Relegation	relegation	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	no
Slide Tackle	slide tackle	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Bottle	bottle	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Etihad	etihad	0	0			0.57	prior	yes
Extra Time	extra time	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Record	record	0	0			0.57	prior	yes
Remontada	remontada	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Ronaldo / Messi	messi|ronaldo	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Suspended / Suspension	suspended|suspension	0	0			0.57	prior	no
What a Save	what a save	0	0			0.57	prior	yes