# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-18 · 22 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18LACHI · as_of 2026-10-26T11:35:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18LACHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	85	83	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	35	30	0.86	YYYYYnYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	51	39	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Soldier	soldier	3	3	1	YYY	0.72	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	67	50	0.75	YYYnnYYYYn	0.71	hist	no
MVP	mvp	8	6	0.75	nYnYYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	51	29	0.57	nYYYYYYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Turf	turf	85	47	0.55	nYnnnnYnYn	0.54	hist	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	51	28	0.55	YYYYYYnYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	51	28	0.55	YYYYYnnnnY	0.53	hist	no
Contract	contract	51	22	0.43	YYYYnnnnnn	0.43	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	51	20	0.39	nnYYYnYYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	52	19	0.37	nnYnnYYnnY	0.38	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	80	26	0.33	nYnYYYnnnn	0.34	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	51	15	0.29	nnYYnnYnnn	0.31	hist	no
No Good	no good	29	8	0.28	nnYnYYYnYn	0.3	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	87	18	0.21	YYnYnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	87	10	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	86	9	0.1	nnnYnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Deep Dish	deep dish	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Ditka / Payton	ditka|payton	0	0			0.48	prior	yes