# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-18 · 22 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18HOUNE · as_of 2026-10-27T10:00:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18HOUNE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston at New England professional football divisional round game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	85	83	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Record	record	35	30	0.86	YYYYYnYYYY	0.81	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	51	39	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	67	50	0.75	YYYnnYYYYn	0.71	yes
MVP	mvp	8	6	0.75	nYnYYYYY	0.67	yes
Robert Kraft	robert kraft	6	4	0.67	nYYnYY	0.6	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	51	29	0.57	nYYYYYYYnn	0.55	yes
Turf	turf	85	47	0.55	nYnnnnYnYn	0.54	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	51	28	0.55	YYYYYYnYnY	0.53	no
Schedule	schedule	51	28	0.55	YYYYYnnnnY	0.53	no
Gillette	gillette	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	yes
Belichick	belichick	1	0	0	n	0.45	yes
Contract	contract	51	22	0.43	YYYYnnnnnn	0.43	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	51	20	0.39	nnYYYnYYnn	0.39	no
JJ Watt	jj watt	1	0	0	n	0.39	no
Tush Push	tush push	52	19	0.37	nnYnnYYnnY	0.38	no
What a Catch	what a catch	80	26	0.33	nYnYYYnnnn	0.34	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	51	15	0.29	nnYYnnYnnn	0.31	no
No Good	no good	29	8	0.28	nnYnYYYnYn	0.3	no
One Handed	one handed	87	18	0.21	YYnYnnnnnn	0.23	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	87	10	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	no
Late Hit	late hit	86	9	0.1	nnnYnnnnnn	0.12	no