# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-17 · 22 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18SFSEA · as_of 2026-10-27T01:15:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN18SFSEA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of San Francisco at Seattle professional football divisional round game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	84	82	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	34	29	0.85	YYYYYYnYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	50	38	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	66	50	0.76	YYYYnnYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	7	5	0.71	nYnYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Rival / Rivalry	rival|rivalry	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Lumen	lumen	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	50	29	0.58	nnYYYYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Turf	turf	84	47	0.56	YnYnnnnYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	50	27	0.54	YYYYYYYnYn	0.53	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	50	27	0.54	YYYYYYnnnn	0.53	hist	no
Contract	contract	50	22	0.44	nYYYYnnnnn	0.43	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	50	20	0.4	nnnYYYnYYn	0.39	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	51	18	0.35	nnnYnnYYnn	0.38	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	79	26	0.33	YnYnYYYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	50	15	0.3	nnnYYnnYnn	0.31	hist	no
No Good	no good	28	8	0.29	nnnYnYYYnY	0.3	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	86	18	0.21	nYYnYnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	86	10	0.12	nnnnnnnnYn	0.14	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	85	9	0.11	nnnnYnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Pacific	pacific	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Space Needle	space needle	0	0			0.48	prior	yes