# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-12 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN12HOUPIT · as_of 2026-10-24T03:06:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-12 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN12HOUPIT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston at Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	83	81	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	33	28	0.85	nYYYYYYnYY	0.8	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	49	37	0.76	YnYYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	65	49	0.75	YYYYYnnYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Acrisure	acrisure	2	2	1	YY	0.66	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	49	29	0.59	YnnYYYYYYY	0.56	hist	no
Turf	turf	83	46	0.55	YYnYnnnnYn	0.55	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	49	27	0.55	YYYYYYYnnn	0.54	hist	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	49	27	0.55	YYYYYYYYnY	0.53	hist	no
Contract	contract	49	22	0.45	nnYYYYnnnn	0.45	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	49	20	0.41	YnnnYYYnYY	0.4	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	50	18	0.36	nnnnYnnYYn	0.38	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	78	26	0.33	YYnYnYYYnn	0.36	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	49	15	0.31	nnnnYYnnYn	0.32	hist	no
No Good	no good	27	7	0.26	nnnnYnYYYn	0.3	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	85	18	0.21	nnYYnYnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	85	10	0.12	nnnnnnnnnY	0.13	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	84	9	0.11	nnnnnYnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Terrible Towel	terrible towel	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Three Rivers	three river	0	0			0.48	prior	no