# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-11 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN11SFPHI · as_of 2026-10-24T20:31:37Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN11SFPHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of San Francisco at Philadelphia professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	80	78	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	30	26	0.87	YYYnYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	62	46	0.74	YnYYYYYYnn	0.72	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	46	34	0.74	YYYYnYYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	46	27	0.59	nYYYYYYYYY	0.56	hist	no
Turf	turf	80	45	0.56	YYYYYnYnnn	0.56	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	46	26	0.57	YnnYnnYYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	46	25	0.54	nnYYYYYYYY	0.52	hist	no
MVP	mvp	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.5	hist	yes
Contract	contract	46	22	0.48	nnnnnYYYYn	0.48	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	46	18	0.39	nnnYnnnYYY	0.38	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	47	16	0.34	YYnnnnnYnn	0.36	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	75	25	0.33	nYnYYnYnYY	0.34	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	46	14	0.3	nnnnnnnYYn	0.32	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	82	18	0.22	nYnnnYYnYn	0.25	hist	no
No Good	no good	24	5	0.21	YnYnnnnYnY	0.21	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	82	9	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	81	9	0.11	nnnnnnnnYn	0.13	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Lincoln Financial	lincoln financial	0	0			0.48	prior	yes