# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-11 · 24 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN11LACNE · as_of 2026-10-27T10:40:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN11LACNE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Los Angeles C at New England professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	80	78	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	30	26	0.87	YYYnYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	62	46	0.74	YnYYYYYYnn	0.72	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	46	34	0.74	YYYYnYYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Mahomes	mahome	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.6	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	46	27	0.59	nYYYYYYYYY	0.56	hist	no
Turf	turf	80	45	0.56	YYYYYnYnnn	0.56	hist	no
Robert Kraft	robert kraft	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.55	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	46	26	0.57	YnnYnnYYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	46	25	0.54	nnYYYYYYYY	0.52	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.5	hist	yes
Contract	contract	46	22	0.48	nnnnnYYYYn	0.48	hist	no
Tom Brady	tom brady	11	4	0.36	nnYYYYnnnn	0.39	hist	yes
San Diego	san diego	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	46	18	0.39	nnnYnnnYYY	0.38	hist	yes
Gillette	gillette	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	47	16	0.34	YYnnnnnYnn	0.36	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	75	25	0.33	nYnYYnYnYY	0.34	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	46	14	0.3	nnnnnnnYYn	0.32	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	82	18	0.22	nYnnnYYnYn	0.25	hist	no
No Good	no good	24	5	0.21	YnYnnnnYnY	0.21	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	82	9	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	81	9	0.11	nnnnnnnnYn	0.13	hist	no
Philip Rivers	philip river	0	0			0.48	prior	no