# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-10 · 22 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN10GBCHI · as_of 2026-10-26T23:34:58Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-10 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN10GBCHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Green Bay at Chicago professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	78	76	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Record	record	28	24	0.86	YnYYYnYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	60	46	0.77	YnYnYYYYYY	0.73	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	44	32	0.73	YYYYYYnYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Soldier	soldier	2	2	1	YY	0.66	hist	yes
Rival / Rivalry	rival|rivalry	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Turf	turf	78	45	0.58	YYYYYYYnYn	0.56	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	44	25	0.57	nnnYYYYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	44	24	0.55	YnYnnYnnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	44	23	0.52	nYnnYYYYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Snow / Snowy / Snowing	snow|snowing|snowy	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	yes
Contract	contract	44	21	0.48	YnnnnnnYYY	0.47	hist	no
MVP	mvp	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	45	16	0.36	YnYYnnnnnY	0.37	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	44	16	0.36	nnnnnYnnnY	0.37	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	73	23	0.32	YnnYnYYnYn	0.33	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	44	13	0.3	nnnnnnnnnY	0.31	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	80	17	0.21	YnnYnnnYYn	0.24	hist	no
No Good	no good	22	4	0.18	nnYnYnnnnY	0.22	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	80	9	0.11	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	79	8	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Rodgers	rodger	0	0			0.48	prior	yes