# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-01-04 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN04GBMIN · as_of 2026-10-26T06:26:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26JAN04GBMIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Green Bay at Minnesota professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	69	67	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	53	48	0.91	nYYYnYYYYY	0.87	yes
Record	record	19	17	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.79	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	51	39	0.76	nYYYYYYYYY	0.71	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	35	24	0.69	YYYYYYYYYY	0.66	yes
US Bank	us bank	1	1	1	Y	0.59	yes
Turf	turf	69	38	0.55	nnYYnYnYnY	0.54	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	35	20	0.57	nYnYYnYnYY	0.53	no
Contract	contract	35	18	0.51	nYYYnYYYnY	0.49	no
Schedule	schedule	35	18	0.51	nnnnnYYnYn	0.49	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	35	16	0.46	nnnnYnnYYn	0.46	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	35	14	0.4	YYnnnnnYYn	0.39	no
Tush Push	tush push	36	13	0.36	nnnnYYnYnY	0.36	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	35	12	0.34	YnnnnnnYnn	0.34	no
What a Catch	what a catch	64	19	0.3	nnnnnnnYnY	0.31	yes
Cheesehead / Cheese Head	cheese head|cheesehead	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.27	no
One Handed	one handed	71	14	0.2	nnnnnnYnnY	0.22	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	71	9	0.13	nnnYnYYnnY	0.16	no
No Good	no good	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	no
Late Hit	late hit	70	8	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.13	no