# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-28 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC28SEACAR · as_of 2026-10-27T01:49:51Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC28SEACAR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Seattle at Carolina professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	61	59	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	45	41	0.91	YYYYYYYYnY	0.89	yes
Wild	wild	58	44	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Record	record	12	10	0.83	YYYnYYYYYY	0.71	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	43	31	0.72	nYnYYYnYnY	0.69	yes
Bank of America	bank of america	1	1	1	Y	0.59	yes
Schedule	schedule	27	15	0.56	nYnYYnnYnn	0.57	yes
Turf	turf	61	33	0.54	nYnYYYYnnn	0.55	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	27	16	0.59	YYnYYYYYYY	0.54	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	27	15	0.56	nnnYnYnnnY	0.53	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	27	13	0.48	nnnnnYnnnn	0.5	no
Contract	contract	27	12	0.44	YnnnYnnnnY	0.44	yes
No Good	no good	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.41	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	27	12	0.44	nnnYYnnYYY	0.4	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	27	11	0.41	nnnYnYnYYn	0.4	no
Tush Push	tush push	28	9	0.32	nnYnnnnnnn	0.36	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	56	17	0.3	nnYnYnnYnn	0.34	no
One Handed	one handed	63	12	0.19	YnnnYnnnnn	0.22	no
Late Hit	late hit	62	7	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	63	5	0.08	nnnYnnnnnn	0.11	yes