# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-28 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC28PHIBUF · as_of 2026-10-25T01:50:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC28PHIBUF ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Philadelphia at Buffalo professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	61	59	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	45	41	0.91	YYYYYYYYnY	0.89	hist	yes
Wild	wild	58	44	0.76	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	no
Record	record	12	10	0.83	YYYnYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	43	31	0.72	nYnYYYnYnY	0.69	hist	yes
Highmark	highmark	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	27	15	0.56	nYnYYnnYnn	0.57	hist	no
Turf	turf	61	33	0.54	nYnYYYYnnn	0.55	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	27	16	0.59	YYnYYYYYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	27	15	0.56	nnnYnYnnnY	0.53	hist	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	27	13	0.48	nnnnnYnnnn	0.5	hist	yes
Contract	contract	27	12	0.44	YnnnYnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
No Good	no good	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.41	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	27	12	0.44	nnnYYnnYYY	0.4	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	27	11	0.41	nnnYnYnYYn	0.4	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	28	9	0.32	nnYnnnnnnn	0.36	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	56	17	0.3	nnYnYnnYnn	0.34	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	63	12	0.19	YnnnYnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	62	7	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	63	5	0.08	nnnYnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Rain / Raining	rain|raining	0	0			0.48	prior	yes