# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-27 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC27BALGB · as_of 2026-10-26T18:37:18Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC27BALGB ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Baltimore at Green Bay professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	59	57	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	43	40	0.93	nYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Wild	wild	56	42	0.75	nYYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Record	record	10	8	0.8	YnYYYnYYYY	0.71	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	41	30	0.73	nYnYnYYYnY	0.69	yes
Schedule	schedule	25	15	0.6	nYnYnYYnnY	0.57	no
Turf	turf	59	33	0.56	YnnYnYYYYn	0.55	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	25	14	0.56	nnYYnYYYYY	0.54	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	25	14	0.56	YnnnnYnYnn	0.53	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	25	13	0.52	YYnnnnnYnn	0.5	no
Contract	contract	25	11	0.44	nYYnnnYnnn	0.44	yes
No Good	no good	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	25	10	0.4	nnnnnYnYnY	0.4	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	25	10	0.4	nnnnnYYnnY	0.4	yes
Lambeau Leap	lambeau leap	1	0	0	n	0.38	yes
Tush Push	tush push	26	9	0.35	YYnnYnnnnn	0.36	no
What a Catch	what a catch	54	17	0.31	nYnnYnYnnY	0.34	no
Cheese Head / Cheesehead	cheese head|cheesehead	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.3	no
One Handed	one handed	61	12	0.2	nnYnnnYnnn	0.22	no
Late Hit	late hit	60	7	0.12	nnnnnnnnnY	0.14	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	61	5	0.08	nnnnnYnnnn	0.11	no