# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-25 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC25DALWAS · as_of 2026-10-26T05:16:50Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC25DALWAS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Dallas at Washington professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 25, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	56	54	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	40	37	0.93	YYYnYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.82	hist	no
Wild	wild	53	39	0.74	YYYnYYYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	38	28	0.74	YYYnYnYnYY	0.7	hist	yes
Record	record	7	5	0.71	YnYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	22	14	0.64	YYYnYnYnYY	0.6	hist	no
Northwest	northwest	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	22	13	0.59	YnYYnnnnYn	0.56	hist	yes
Turf	turf	56	31	0.55	YnYYnnYnYY	0.54	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	22	12	0.55	nnYYYnnnnn	0.52	hist	yes
Contract	contract	22	11	0.5	YYnnYYnnnY	0.49	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	22	11	0.5	nYnnnYYnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	22	9	0.41	YnYnnnnnYY	0.41	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	23	9	0.39	YYnYYnnYnn	0.41	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	22	8	0.36	YYnnnnnnYn	0.37	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	51	16	0.31	nYnnYnnYnY	0.34	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	58	12	0.21	nnnnnYnnnY	0.23	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	57	6	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	58	5	0.09	nnnnnnnnYn	0.12	hist	no
No Good	no good	0	0			0.48	prior	yes