# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-22 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC22SFIND · as_of 2026-10-26T23:28:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-22 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC22SFIND ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of San Francisco at Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 22, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	55	53	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	39	36	0.92	YYYYnYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	16	16	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	37	27	0.73	YYYYnYnYnY	0.73	hist	yes
Wild	wild	52	38	0.73	YYYYnYYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	21	13	0.62	YYnYYnnnnY	0.67	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	21	13	0.62	YYYYnYnYnY	0.62	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	21	12	0.57	YnnYYYnnnn	0.62	hist	no
Turf	turf	55	30	0.55	nYnYYnnYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Contract	contract	21	10	0.48	nYYnnYYnnn	0.51	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	21	10	0.48	YnYnnnYYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	21	8	0.38	YYYnnnnnnY	0.46	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	21	8	0.38	nYnYnnnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	22	9	0.41	YYYnYYnnYn	0.4	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	50	15	0.3	nnYnnYnnYn	0.32	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	57	11	0.19	nnnnnnYnnn	0.22	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	56	6	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	57	5	0.09	nnnnnnnnnY	0.11	hist	no
Record	record	6	4	0.67	YnYYYn	0.47	prior	yes
Lucas Oil	lucas oil	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Retired / Retirement	retired|retirement	0	0			0.47	prior	no