# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-21 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC21BUFCLE · as_of 2026-10-25T08:38:27Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC21BUFCLE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Buffalo at Cleveland professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	49	47	0.96	YYYnYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	33	31	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	no
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	31	24	0.77	YYYnYYYYYY	0.71	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	15	11	0.73	YYYYnnYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Wild	wild	46	33	0.72	YYYYYYYYYY	0.67	hist	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	15	10	0.67	YYnYYYYnnY	0.64	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	15	10	0.67	YYnYnYYYYY	0.58	hist	no
Turf	turf	49	27	0.55	YYYnYYnYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Contract	contract	15	8	0.53	YYYnnYnYYn	0.52	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	15	7	0.47	nnnYnnYYYn	0.46	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	15	7	0.47	YYnnnYnYnY	0.46	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	15	7	0.47	nnYYnnYnYn	0.46	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	16	6	0.38	nnnYnnYYYn	0.39	hist	yes
Concussion	concussion	14	6	0.43	nnYnYYnnYY	0.38	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	44	13	0.3	nYYYYnnnYn	0.31	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	51	10	0.2	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	50	6	0.12	nnYnnnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	51	4	0.08	YnnnYnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Record	record	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Snow / Snowy / Snowed	snow|snowed|snowy	0	0			0.47	prior	no