# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-20 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC20PHIWAS · as_of 2026-10-27T08:41:25Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-20 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC20PHIWAS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Philadelphia at Washington professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	47	45	0.96	YYYYYnYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	31	29	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	29	22	0.76	YYYYYnYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	13	10	0.77	YYYYYYnnYY	0.7	hist	no
Wild	wild	44	31	0.7	nYYYYYYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	13	9	0.69	nYYYnYYYYn	0.64	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	13	8	0.62	nnYYnYnYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Turf	turf	47	26	0.55	YYYYYnYYnY	0.54	hist	no
Contract	contract	13	7	0.54	nnYYYnnYnY	0.52	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	13	6	0.46	YYnnnYnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	13	6	0.46	YnYYnnnYnY	0.46	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	13	6	0.46	YYnnYYnnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	14	5	0.36	nnnnnYnnYY	0.39	hist	yes
Concussion	concussion	12	4	0.33	nnnnYnYYnn	0.38	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	42	12	0.29	nnnYYYYnnn	0.31	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	49	10	0.2	nYYnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	48	6	0.12	nnnnYnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	49	4	0.08	nnYnnnYnnn	0.11	hist	no
Northwest	northwest	0	0			0.47	prior	yes