# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-18 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC18LASEA · as_of 2026-10-27T13:36:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC18LASEA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Los Angeles R at Seattle professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	46	44	0.96	YYYYYYnYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	30	28	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.83	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	28	21	0.75	nYYYYYnYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	12	9	0.75	YnYYYnYYYY	0.68	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	12	9	0.75	nYYYYYYnnY	0.68	hist	yes
Wild	wild	43	30	0.7	YnYYYYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	12	7	0.58	YnnYYnYnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Turf	turf	46	25	0.54	nYYYYYnYYn	0.53	hist	yes
Contract	contract	12	6	0.5	YnnYYYnnYn	0.49	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	12	6	0.5	YYYnnYYnnY	0.49	hist	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	12	5	0.42	nYYnnnYnnY	0.42	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	12	5	0.42	nYnYYnnnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Concussion	concussion	11	4	0.36	nnnnnYnYYn	0.41	hist	no
Marshawn Lynch	marshawn lynch	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	13	4	0.31	YnnnnnYnnY	0.34	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	41	12	0.29	YnnnYYYYnn	0.32	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	48	10	0.21	YnYYnnnnnn	0.24	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	47	6	0.13	nnnnnYnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	48	4	0.08	nnnYnnnYnn	0.12	hist	no
Lumen	lumen	0	0			0.47	prior	yes