# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-15 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC15MIAPIT · as_of 2026-10-27T08:09:08Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC15MIAPIT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Miami at Pittsburgh professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	45	43	0.96	YYYYYYYnYY	0.95	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	29	27	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	11	8	0.73	YnYYYYYYnn	0.72	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	27	20	0.74	nnYYYYYnYY	0.69	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	11	8	0.73	YYnYYYnYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Wild	wild	42	29	0.69	YYnYYYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Turf	turf	45	25	0.56	nnYYYYYnYY	0.53	hist	no
Contract	contract	11	6	0.55	nYnnYYYnnY	0.53	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	11	6	0.55	nYnnYYnYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	11	5	0.45	YnYnYYnnnY	0.53	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	11	5	0.45	nYYYnnYYnn	0.43	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	11	4	0.36	YnYYnnnYnn	0.43	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	12	3	0.25	nYnnnnnYnn	0.3	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	40	12	0.3	YYnnnYYYYn	0.28	hist	no
Concussion	concussion	10	4	0.4	YnnnnnYnYY	0.27	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	47	10	0.21	nYnYYnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	46	6	0.13	nnnnnnYnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	47	4	0.09	nnnnYnnnYn	0.1	hist	no
Draft	draft	1	0	0	n	0.46	prior	yes
Acrisure	acrisure	0	0			0.46	prior	yes