# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-14 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC14MINDAL · as_of 2026-10-26T17:05:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC14MINDAL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Minnesota at Dallas professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	40	39	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	24	22	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.69	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	22	16	0.73	YYnYnnnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Wild	wild	37	24	0.65	YYYnYYYnYY	0.61	hist	yes
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	6	4	0.67	nYYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Turf	turf	40	21	0.53	nnYnYnnYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Contract	contract	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	6	3	0.5	nYnYYn	0.48	hist	no
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	6	3	0.5	nYnYnY	0.48	hist	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	6	3	0.5	nnYYYn	0.48	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	7	2	0.29	YnnYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Concussion	concussion	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.31	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	42	10	0.24	YnnnYnYnYY	0.27	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	35	8	0.23	nYYnnYYnnn	0.26	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	41	5	0.12	nnnYnnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	42	3	0.07	nnnnnnnnnY	0.1	hist	no
AT&T	at&t	0	0			0.45	prior	yes