# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-11 · 21 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC11ATLTB · as_of 2026-10-26T11:55:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC11ATLTB ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Atlanta at Tampa Bay professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 11, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	39	38	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	23	21	0.91	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	21	15	0.71	YYYnYnnnYY	0.66	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.65	hist	yes
Wild	wild	36	23	0.64	YYYYnYYYnY	0.6	hist	yes
Tom Brady	tom brady	7	4	0.57	nnnYYYY	0.55	hist	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.53	hist	no
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.53	hist	no
Turf	turf	39	20	0.51	YnnYnYnnYY	0.5	hist	yes
Contract	contract	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.39	hist	no
Concussion	concussion	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.37	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	34	8	0.24	YnYYnnYYnn	0.27	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	41	9	0.22	nYnnnYnYnY	0.25	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	40	5	0.12	YnnnYnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	41	2	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Raymond James	raymond jame	0	0			0.45	prior	yes