# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-07 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC07CHIGB · as_of 2026-10-27T03:52:34Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC07CHIGB ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Chicago at Green Bay professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 7, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	34	33	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	18	16	0.89	nYnYYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	16	13	0.81	nYYYYYYYnY	0.74	hist	no
Turf	turf	34	17	0.5	YYYYYYnnYn	0.49	hist	no
Cheesehead / Cheese Head	cheese head|cheesehead	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	29	6	0.21	nnYnnYnYYn	0.24	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	36	6	0.17	nnYnnnYnnn	0.2	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	35	5	0.14	nnnnnYnnnY	0.17	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	31	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	36	2	0.06	nnnYnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Clock	clock	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Contract	contract	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Fine / Fines / Fined	fine|fined	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Franchise Record	franchise record	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Hunt / Hunting	hunt|hunting	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Next Gen Stat	next gen stat	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Schedule	schedule	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Snow / Snowy	snow|snowy	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	0	0			0.45	prior	yes