# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-04 · 26 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC04DALDET · as_of 2026-10-26T12:38:35Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC04DALDET ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Dallas at Detroit professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Picked	picked	18	18	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Safety	safety	33	32	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Speed	speed	28	27	0.96	YYnYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	23	20	0.87	YnYYYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	17	15	0.88	YnYnYYYYYY	0.8	hist	yes
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	4	4	1	YYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	15	12	0.8	nnYYYYYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	25	19	0.76	YYnnYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	35	25	0.71	YYYnnYYYYn	0.67	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	35	22	0.63	YnnYnYYnYn	0.59	hist	yes
Wild	wild	35	22	0.63	YYYYYnYYYn	0.58	hist	yes
Turf	turf	33	17	0.52	YYYYYYYnnY	0.51	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	35	15	0.43	YYYnnnYYnY	0.43	hist	no
Motor City	motor city	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	27	9	0.33	YnnYnnYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	30	7	0.23	nYYnnnnYnn	0.26	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	35	8	0.23	nnnYnYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	28	6	0.21	nnnYnnYnYY	0.25	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	32	6	0.19	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	35	6	0.17	nnnYnnnYnn	0.2	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	34	4	0.12	nnnnnnYnnn	0.15	hist	yes
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	30	2	0.07	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	35	2	0.06	nnnnYnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
1000	1000	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Eminem	eminem	0	0			0.44	prior	no