# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-12-01 · 26 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC02 · as_of 2026-10-26T21:02:47Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-12-01 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25DEC02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of New York at New England pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	30	29	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Picked	picked	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Speed	speed	25	24	0.96	YYYYYnYYYY	0.91	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	18	17	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	20	17	0.85	YYYYnYYYYY	0.8	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	14	12	0.86	YYYYnYnYYY	0.79	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	12	10	0.83	YYYnnYYYYY	0.77	no
Veteran	veteran	22	16	0.73	nYnYYnnYYY	0.7	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	32	23	0.72	YYnYYYnnYY	0.7	no
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	32	21	0.66	nYYYnnYnYY	0.61	no
Wild	wild	32	20	0.62	nYYYYYYYnY	0.6	no
Gronk / Gronkowski	gronk|gronkowski	1	1	1	Y	0.56	no
Tom Brady	tom brady	6	3	0.5	nnnYYY	0.5	yes
Turf	turf	30	16	0.53	nYnYYYYYYY	0.49	yes
Turkey	turkey	2	2	1	YY	0.47	no
Overtime	overtime	32	13	0.41	nnYYYYnnnY	0.41	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	24	9	0.38	YYnYnnYnnY	0.35	no
Robert Kraft	robert kraft	1	0	0	n	0.35	yes
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	27	6	0.22	nnYnYYnnnn	0.27	no
Pylon	pylon	32	8	0.25	nnYnnnYnYn	0.26	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	30	6	0.2	YYnnnnnnnn	0.22	no
What a Catch	what a catch	25	4	0.16	nnnnnnYnnY	0.22	yes
One Handed	one handed	32	5	0.16	nnnnnnYnnn	0.21	no
Late Hit	late hit	31	4	0.13	nnnnnnnnnY	0.15	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	27	2	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.11	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	32	2	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.09	no