# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-30 · 25 words · K k:KXSNFMENTION-25DEC01 · as_of 2026-10-27T15:56:25Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNFMENTION-25DEC01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Tirico and/or Cris Collinsworth says {word} as part of Denver at Washington pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	30	29	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Picked	picked	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Speed	speed	25	24	0.96	YYYYYnYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	18	17	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	20	17	0.85	YYYYnYYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	14	12	0.86	YYYYnYnYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	12	10	0.83	YYYnnYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	32	23	0.72	YYnYYYnnYY	0.68	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	22	16	0.73	nYnYYnnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Turkey	turkey	2	2	1	YY	0.64	hist	no
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	32	21	0.66	nYYYnnYnYY	0.62	hist	no
Wild	wild	32	20	0.62	nYYYYYYYnY	0.58	hist	yes
Turf	turf	30	16	0.53	nYnYYYYYYY	0.52	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	32	13	0.41	nnYYYYnnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	24	9	0.38	YYnYnnYnnY	0.38	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	32	8	0.25	nnYnnnYnYn	0.27	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	27	6	0.22	nnYnYYnnnn	0.25	hist	yes
What a catch	what a catch	25	4	0.16	nnnnnnYnnY	0.2	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	32	5	0.16	nnnnnnYnnn	0.19	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	31	4	0.13	nnnnnnnnnY	0.16	hist	no
Miracle	miracle	17	1	0.06	nnnnnYnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	27	2	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	32	2	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.1	hist	no
Ejected / Ejection	ejected|ejection	12	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Jayden Daniels	jayden daniel	0	0			0.44	prior	yes