# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-28 · 24 words · K k:KXSNFMENTION-25NOV29 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:23:35Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNFMENTION-25NOV29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Al Michaels and/or Kirk Herbstreit says {word} as part of Chicago at Philadelphia pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safety	safety	26	25	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Picked	picked	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	yes
Speed	speed	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYYn	0.9	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	14	13	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	16	13	0.81	YYnYYYYYnY	0.77	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYYYnY	0.75	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.72	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	28	21	0.75	YYYYYYnYYY	0.67	yes
Veteran	veteran	18	13	0.72	nYYYnYnYYn	0.66	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	28	18	0.64	nYYnnYYYnn	0.6	yes
Wild	wild	28	17	0.61	nnnnnYYYYY	0.57	yes
Turf	turf	26	12	0.46	YnnnnYnYYY	0.51	yes
Cheesesteak	cheesesteak	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	no
Overtime	overtime	28	12	0.43	nnnnnnYYYY	0.39	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	20	7	0.35	nnnnYYnYnn	0.36	yes
Liberty Bell	liberty bell	1	0	0	n	0.34	no
Pylon	pylon	28	6	0.21	nnnnnnYnnn	0.28	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	23	6	0.26	nYnnnnYnYY	0.26	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	26	6	0.23	YnnnYYnnnn	0.23	no
One Handed	one handed	28	4	0.14	nYnnnnnnnn	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	21	2	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	yes
Late Hit	late hit	27	3	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	yes
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	23	2	0.09	nnnnnnnYnn	0.12	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	28	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no