# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-27 · 24 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV28 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:55:17Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jim Nantz or Tony Romo says {word} as part of Kansas City at Dallas pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	26	25	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Picked	picked	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
Speed	speed	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYYn	0.88	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	14	13	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	16	13	0.81	YYnYYYYYnY	0.75	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYYYnY	0.71	hist	yes
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	28	21	0.75	YYYYYYnYYY	0.68	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.67	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	18	13	0.72	nYYYnYnYYn	0.63	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	28	18	0.64	nYYnnYYYnn	0.61	hist	no
Wild	wild	28	17	0.61	nnnnnYYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Turf	turf	26	12	0.46	YnnnnYnYYY	0.47	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	28	12	0.43	nnnnnnYYYY	0.41	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	20	7	0.35	nnnnYYnYnn	0.39	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	23	6	0.26	nYnnnnYnYY	0.28	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	28	6	0.21	nnnnnnYnnn	0.26	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	26	6	0.23	YnnnYYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	28	4	0.14	nYnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	21	2	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	27	3	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	23	2	0.09	nnnnnnnYnn	0.13	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	28	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	yes
Turkey	turkey	0	0			0.43	prior	yes