# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-24 · 24 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV25 · as_of 2026-10-27T12:24:03Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of Carolina at San Francisco pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	19	19	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	no
Safety	safety	24	23	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Picked	picked	9	9	1	YYYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	12	11	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYYn	0.75	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	14	12	0.86	YnYYnYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	16	12	0.75	YYnYYYnYnY	0.7	hist	no
Inch / Inches	inch	26	19	0.73	nYYYYYYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	26	18	0.69	YYnYYnnYYY	0.62	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.61	hist	yes
Wild	wild	26	15	0.58	YYnnnnnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Turf	turf	24	10	0.42	nnYnnnnYnY	0.43	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	26	10	0.38	nYnnnnnnYY	0.4	hist	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	18	7	0.39	YnnnnnYYnY	0.38	hist	no
Golden Gate	golden gate	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	25	6	0.24	nYnnnYYnnn	0.27	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	21	4	0.19	nnnYnnnnYn	0.26	hist	yes
Pylon	pylon	26	6	0.23	nYnnnnnnYn	0.25	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	26	4	0.15	nnnYnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	25	3	0.12	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	19	2	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	21	2	0.1	nnnnnnnnnY	0.14	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	26	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Montana	montana	0	0			0.42	prior	yes