# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-17 · 26 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV18 · as_of 2026-10-26T15:30:06Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of Dallas at Las Vegas pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	16	16	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Safety	safety	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
Picked	picked	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	9	8	0.89	nYYYYYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	11	9	0.82	YYYYnYYnYY	0.73	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	13	10	0.77	YYnYYnYYYn	0.7	hist	no
Inch / Inches	inch	23	17	0.74	nYYnYYYYYY	0.7	hist	no
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	23	15	0.65	YnnYYnYYnn	0.62	hist	yes
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	yes
Wild	wild	23	12	0.52	YnnYYnnnnn	0.49	hist	yes
Turf	turf	21	8	0.38	YnnnnYnnnn	0.4	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	15	5	0.33	YnnYnnnnnY	0.38	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	23	8	0.35	YnnnYnnnnn	0.33	hist	yes
Oakland	oakland	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	23	6	0.26	nnnYnnnYYn	0.29	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	23	5	0.22	nYnnYnnnnn	0.23	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	23	4	0.17	YYnnnnYnnn	0.2	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	18	3	0.17	nnYnnnYnnn	0.2	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	22	3	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	16	2	0.12	nnYnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	18	1	0.06	nYnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	23	1	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Casino	casino	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Sin City	sin city	0	0			0.41	prior	yes