# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-13 · 25 words · K k:KXTNFMENTION-25NOV14 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:49:43Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-13 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTNFMENTION-25NOV14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Al Michaels and/or Kirk Herbstreit says {word} as part of New York at New England pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Safety	safety	20	19	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Picked	picked	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	8	7	0.88	nYYYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	12	10	0.83	YYYnYYnYYY	0.73	hist	no
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	10	8	0.8	YYYYYnYYnY	0.69	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	22	16	0.73	YnYYnYYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	22	15	0.68	YYnnYYnYYn	0.63	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
Wild	wild	22	12	0.55	YYnnYYnnnn	0.49	hist	no
Turf	turf	20	8	0.4	YYnnnnYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	22	8	0.36	nYnnnYnnnn	0.36	hist	no
Tom Brady	tom brady	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.33	hist	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	14	4	0.29	nYnnYnnnnn	0.3	hist	yes
Hail Mary	hail mary	22	6	0.27	nnnnYnnnYY	0.3	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	22	5	0.23	nnYnnYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	22	4	0.18	YYYnnnnYnn	0.22	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	17	3	0.18	nnnYnnnYnn	0.22	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	21	3	0.14	nYnnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	15	2	0.13	YnnYnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	17	1	0.06	nnYnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	22	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Gronk / Gronkowski	gronk|gronkowski	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Robert Kraft	robert kraft	0	0			0.4	prior	no