# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-10 · 24 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV11 · as_of 2026-10-26T04:07:23Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-10 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of Philadelphia at Green Bay pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Safety	safety	18	17	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Picked	picked	4	4	1	YYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	4	4	1	YYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	10	8	0.8	YYYYYnYYnY	0.72	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	8	7	0.88	YYYYYnYY	0.67	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	20	14	0.7	YYYYnnYYnY	0.66	hist	no
Inch / Inches	inch	20	14	0.7	YYYnYYnYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Cheesehead / Cheese Head	cheese head|cheesehead	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Wild	wild	20	12	0.6	YnYYnnYYnn	0.51	hist	no
Turf	turf	18	8	0.44	nYYYnnnnYn	0.41	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	20	8	0.4	YnnYnnnYnn	0.38	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	12	4	0.33	YnnYnnYnnn	0.32	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	20	4	0.2	YnnnnnYnnn	0.27	hist	yes
Pylon	pylon	20	5	0.25	nnnnYnnYnn	0.26	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	20	4	0.2	nnYYYnnnnY	0.23	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	15	3	0.2	nnnnnYnnnY	0.23	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	13	2	0.15	nnYnnYnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	19	3	0.16	nnnYnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	15	1	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	20	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Lambeau Leap	lambeau leap	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Snow / Snowing	snow|snowing	0	0			0.41	prior	no
