# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-11-03 · 23 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV04 · as_of 2026-10-27T06:02:11Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-11-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25NOV04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of Arizona at Dallas pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Safety	safety	15	14	0.93	YnYYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	7	6	0.86	YYYYYnY	0.73	hist	no
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	17	12	0.71	YnYYYYYnnY	0.66	hist	no
Picked	picked	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	17	11	0.65	YnnYYYnYYn	0.61	hist	yes
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.59	hist	yes
Wild	wild	17	11	0.65	YYYYnYYnnY	0.59	hist	no
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Turf	turf	15	7	0.47	YnYnYYYnnn	0.43	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	17	7	0.41	nnnYnnYnnn	0.43	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	9	4	0.44	YnYnnYnnY	0.4	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	17	4	0.24	nnnnnnnYnn	0.3	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	17	4	0.24	nnYYnnnnnY	0.25	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	10	2	0.2	nnnnnYnnYn	0.24	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	16	3	0.19	YnnnnnYnnn	0.22	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	17	3	0.18	nnnnnYYYnn	0.21	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	12	2	0.17	nnYnnnnnYn	0.21	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	17	1	0.06	nnYnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Free Agent	free agent	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	0	0			0.4	prior	yes