# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-10-30 · 23 words · K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT31 · as_of 2026-10-27T15:14:00Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-10-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Al Michaels and/or Kirk Herbstreit says {word} as part of Baltimore at Miami pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Speed	speed	9	9	1	YYYYYYYYY	0.84	hist	yes
Safety	safety	14	13	0.93	YYnYYYYYYY	0.83	hist	yes
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	4	4	1	YYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.67	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	16	11	0.69	nYnnYYYnYY	0.63	hist	no
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	16	11	0.69	nYnYYYYYnn	0.62	hist	yes
Wild	wild	16	10	0.62	nYYYYnYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Turf	turf	14	7	0.5	nYnYnYYYnn	0.48	hist	no
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	2	1	0.5	nY	0.43	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	16	7	0.44	nnnnYnnYnn	0.42	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	8	3	0.38	YnYnnYnn	0.38	hist	yes
Pylon	pylon	16	4	0.25	nnnnnnnnYn	0.28	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	9	2	0.22	nnnnnYnnY	0.28	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	15	3	0.2	nYnnnnnYnn	0.24	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	11	2	0.18	nnnYnnnnnY	0.24	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	16	3	0.19	nnnYYnnnnn	0.23	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	16	3	0.19	nnnnnnYYYn	0.23	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	11	1	0.09	nnnnnnnnYn	0.16	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	16	1	0.06	nnnYnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Marino	marino	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Picked	picked	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Ray Lewis	ray lewis	0	0			0.39	prior	no
South Beach	south beach	0	0			0.39	prior	no