# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-10-23 · 27 words · K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT24 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:24:13Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2025-10-23 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Al Michaels and/or Kirk Herbstreit says {word} as part of Minnesota at Los Angeles pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	11	10	0.91	YYYYYnYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Speed	speed	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	13	10	0.77	YYnnYnYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	3	3	1	YYY	0.67	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	13	9	0.69	YYnnYnnYYY	0.62	hist	no
Fumble / Fumbles / Fumbled	fumble|fumbled	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	yes
Wild	wild	13	9	0.69	nYnnYYYYnY	0.59	hist	yes
Southern California	southern california	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Turf	turf	11	6	0.55	nYnnYnYnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	13	6	0.46	YYnnnnnYnn	0.44	hist	yes
Stuffed	stuffed	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Hail Mary	hail mary	13	3	0.23	nnnnnnYYnn	0.27	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	13	3	0.23	nYnnnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Down to the wire	down to the wire	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
What a catch	what a catch	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.25	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	12	2	0.17	nYnnYnnnnn	0.22	hist	yes
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	8	1	0.12	nnnnYnnn	0.2	hist	no
Pick Six	pick six	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.18	hist	yes
Doink / Doinked	doink|doinked	4	0	0	nnnn	0.18	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnY	0.14	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnYnnn	0.14	hist	no
Ejected / Ejection	ejected|ejection	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Miracle	miracle	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Dodgers	dodger	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Hollywood	hollywood	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	0	0			0.39	prior	no