# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-10-09 · 39 words · K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT10 · P p:nfl-thursday-mentions-eagles-vs-giants · as_of 2026-10-27T08:41:25Z
# scope K named_crew; P pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-10-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTNFMENTION-25OCT10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Al Michaels and/or Kirk Herbstreit says {word} as part of Philadelphia at New York pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:nfl-thursday-mentions-eagles-vs-giants (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if either a play-by-play announcer or a color commentator says the listed term at any point between kickoff and the conclusion of this game during its primary official video broadcast.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	1	K	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Fumble	fumble	1	K	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Fumble 3+ times	fumble#3	3	P	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
Tie	tie	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	no
Facemask / Face Mask	face mask|facemask	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.68	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.68	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.68	hist	no
Speed	speed	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
Penalty / Flag 30+ times	flag|penalty#30	30	P	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	no
Stuffed	stuffed	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Super Bowl	super bowl	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Wild	wild	1	K	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Pick Six	pick six	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	1	K	6	3	0.5	nYYnYn	0.47	hist	no
Turf	turf	1	K	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Down to the wire	down to the wire	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Knee 5+ times	knee#5	5	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	yes
Tush push	tush push	1	P	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.37	hist	yes
Juggle	juggle	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Turnover on downs	turnover on down	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	1	K	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.29	hist	yes
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Ejected / Ejection	ejected|ejection	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
What a catch	what a catch	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	1	K	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Punt 15+ times	punt#15	15	P	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
Miracle	miracle	1	KP	4	0	0	nnnn	0.17	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	1	K	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	1	K	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Cheesesteak	cheesesteak	1	K	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Doinks / Doinked	doink|doinked	1	K	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Challenge	challenge	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Comeback	comeback	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
First down 30+ times	first down#30	30	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Rookie 3+ times	rookie#3	3	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Sack 3+ times	sack#3	3	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Safety 4+ times	safety#4	4	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Scoop and score	scoop and score	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Two minute warning 4+ times	two minute warning#4	4	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no