# NBA (nba) · game 2026-04-08 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26APR08PORSAS · as_of 2026-10-27T12:59:19Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26APR08PORSAS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Portland vs San Antonio Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	241	234	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	134	116	0.87	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Rookie	rookie	129	110	0.85	YYYYYYnnYn	0.82	yes
Playoff	playoff	235	184	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.76	yes
Elbow	elbow	192	151	0.79	YYYYYYnYYY	0.75	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	246	180	0.73	YYYYYnnYYY	0.71	no
Frost Bank	frost bank	13	9	0.69	YYYYnnYYnY	0.64	yes
MVP	mvp	248	158	0.64	nYYnYnYYYn	0.62	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	223	140	0.63	nYnnYnYnYY	0.6	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	93	56	0.6	YnYnYYnYYn	0.58	yes
Jordan	jordan	194	114	0.59	nnnnYYYYYY	0.57	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	134	76	0.57	nYnYnnYnYn	0.55	no
Ankle	ankle	242	135	0.56	nYYYYnnYYn	0.54	no
Triple Double	triple double	248	106	0.43	YnYYYYYnnn	0.44	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	223	88	0.39	YYYnnnnnnY	0.39	no
Overtime	overtime	130	44	0.34	nYYnnYnYnn	0.36	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	200	70	0.35	YnnYYnnnYn	0.35	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	173	24	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.16	no