# NBA (nba) · game 2026-04-03 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26APR03CHINYK · as_of 2026-10-27T08:47:48Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26APR03CHINYK ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Chicago vs New York Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	231	224	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	119	103	0.87	YYYnYnYYYY	0.83	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	124	106	0.85	YYYYnYYYYY	0.82	yes
MSG / Madison Square Garden	madison square garden|msg	12	10	0.83	YYnYYYYYYY	0.77	yes
Elbow	elbow	182	142	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.75	yes
Playoff	playoff	225	174	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.75	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	236	172	0.73	YYYYYYnnYY	0.7	yes
MVP	mvp	238	152	0.64	nYYYYYYYYn	0.62	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	213	135	0.63	YYnnYYnnYn	0.61	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	83	49	0.59	nnnnYnYYnn	0.58	yes
Jordan	jordan	184	107	0.58	YYnnYYYYnn	0.57	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	124	72	0.58	YnnYnnYYYn	0.56	no
Ankle	ankle	232	129	0.56	nnYnnnnnnY	0.54	no
Triple Double	triple double	238	100	0.42	nYYnYYYYnn	0.43	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	213	84	0.39	nYYnYnnYnn	0.4	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	190	66	0.35	nYnnnnYYnn	0.36	yes
Overtime	overtime	120	40	0.33	nnnYYnnnYY	0.34	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	163	23	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.17	yes
