# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-25 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR26HOUMIN · as_of 2026-10-26T19:40:49Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR26HOUMIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston vs Minnesota Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	210	203	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	98	86	0.88	nYYYYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	103	87	0.84	YnYYYYYYYY	0.81	yes
Target Center	target center	3	3	1	YYY	0.74	no
Elbow	elbow	161	124	0.77	YYYYYYYYYn	0.73	yes
Playoff	playoff	204	154	0.75	YnnYYnYYYY	0.73	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	215	156	0.73	YnYYYYYYYY	0.7	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	192	122	0.64	nYnYnYYYnY	0.61	yes
MVP	mvp	217	136	0.63	YnnnnnYnYY	0.61	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	62	39	0.63	nYYYnnYYnn	0.59	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	103	61	0.59	nYnYnYnYnn	0.57	yes
Ankle	ankle	211	121	0.57	YYnYnnYYnY	0.56	yes
Jordan	jordan	163	93	0.57	nnYnYnnYnY	0.56	yes
Triple Double	triple double	217	88	0.41	nnYnYYnnYn	0.42	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	192	76	0.4	nYnnnYnnYn	0.39	no
Buzzer	buzzer	169	59	0.35	nnnnYnYYnn	0.35	yes
Overtime	overtime	99	29	0.29	nnYYnnnnYn	0.31	yes
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	142	20	0.14	nYnnYnnnYn	0.16	no
