# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-24 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR25DENPHX · as_of 2026-10-27T20:27:53Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR25DENPHX ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Denver vs Phoenix Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	208	201	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	96	84	0.88	YYnYYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	101	85	0.84	YnYnYYYYYY	0.81	yes
Elbow	elbow	159	123	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.74	no
Playoff	playoff	202	152	0.75	YYYnnYYnYY	0.73	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	213	154	0.72	nYYnYYYYYY	0.7	no
Mortgage Matchup	mortgage matchup	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.61	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	60	39	0.65	YYnYYYnnYY	0.61	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	190	121	0.64	YnnYnYnYYY	0.61	no
MVP	mvp	215	134	0.62	YYYnnnnnYn	0.6	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	101	61	0.6	YYnYnYnYnY	0.58	yes
Ankle	ankle	209	120	0.57	YYYYnYnnYY	0.55	yes
Jordan	jordan	161	92	0.57	nYnnYnYnnY	0.55	yes
Triple Double	triple double	215	87	0.4	YnnnYnYYnn	0.42	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	190	75	0.39	nnnYnnnYnn	0.4	no
Buzzer	buzzer	167	59	0.35	nnnnnnYnYY	0.36	no
Overtime	overtime	97	28	0.29	nnnnYYnnnn	0.31	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	140	19	0.14	nnnYnnYnnn	0.17	no