# NBA (nba) · game 2026-03-23 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR23SASMIA · as_of 2026-10-26T00:20:42Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-23 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26MAR23SASMIA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of San Antonio vs Miami Professional Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	207	200	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Rookie	rookie	95	83	0.87	YYYnYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	100	84	0.84	YYnYnYYYYY	0.8	yes
Elbow	elbow	158	122	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.74	yes
Playoff	playoff	201	151	0.75	YYYYnnYYnY	0.73	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	212	153	0.72	YnYYnYYYYY	0.7	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	59	38	0.64	nYYnYYYnnY	0.61	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	189	120	0.63	YYnnYnYnYY	0.61	yes
MVP	mvp	214	134	0.63	YYYYnnnnnY	0.6	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	100	60	0.6	YYYnYnYnYn	0.58	yes
Ankle	ankle	208	119	0.57	YYYYYnYnnY	0.55	yes
Jordan	jordan	160	91	0.57	YnYnnYnYnn	0.55	yes
Kaseya Center	kaseya center	1	0	0	n	0.44	yes
Triple Double	triple double	214	87	0.41	nYnnnYnYYn	0.42	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	189	75	0.4	YnnnYnnnYn	0.4	no
Buzzer	buzzer	166	58	0.35	nnnnnnnYnY	0.35	yes
Overtime	overtime	96	28	0.29	nnnnnYYnnn	0.31	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	139	19	0.14	nnnnYnnYnn	0.16	no